We present new evidence on the impact of fiscal variables on long-term interest rates and term premia in the United States. To alleviate endogeneity problems, we follow the seminal methodology by ...

The Fed faces a no-win scenario. Cutting rates would stimulate the economy—but reignite inflation. Holding rates could tame inflation—but risks crushing a debt-saturated system. President Trump wants ...

The Fed's Bernanke-era quantitative approach has provided steady economic growth. Click here to find out what remains central ...

The iShares TIPS Bond is set to face an interesting period amid a recalibration in real and nominal yields. Click here to ...

CD rates today are on the decline, but you can still earn up to 4.71% APY. Lock in one of the best rates while the offers are ...

We update an assessment of potential changes in payments that mortgage holders could face at renewal in 2025 and 2026. We use ...

President Trump's "big, beautiful bill" includes major changes to federal spending and tax policies. The Congressional Budget ...

The central bank remains cautious, even as calls for rate cuts grow louder from the White House and other policymakers.